This is because whilst each time I flip the coin it’s a 50% chance, it’s a 25% chance the event happens twice in a row.

Each scenario is just as unlikely as the other. If I flipped a coin it’s a 50% chance it hits heads, if I flip another coin, it’s another 50% chance it hits heads, however, if I look at the statistics, there’s a 25% chance that 4 different scenarios happen it hits heads twice, it hits tails twice, heads then tails, tails then heads. The only way my math is fucked up is it he didnt do this all in a rowįinally got back on Reddit and read your post all the way through, each spin is not independent of each other if they’re in the same sequence of events. However he did this 20 times or something right? I don’t remember because I’m tired as fuck, and this isn’t important enough for me to look back on the post and check, but you would divide the result by 1000 that many times. Okay, now that we know this we can apply it to the 0.1% chance, but I’ll turn it into a fraction for simplicity Now let’s say there’s 3 options that’s we’ll call abcīecause there’s a 33.3333% chance for each 33.333% of 33.333% is 11.111% This is because we are finding the value of the % of the percent. That means there’s a 25% chance of any of these happening. There’s now another 50% chance for it to hit heads againĪs you can see, there’s 4 scenarios, we’ll call them by letters, which is HH HT TH and TT Try playing roulette by yourself for an hour with 100k, cuz I bet you’ll have lost everything before the 50 minute markīecause of that there’s a 1/1000000 chance for it to fuck up twice in a rowĪ coin that has a 50% chance to hit heads It’s not fair, and that’s final, it works the same way a casino does, the difference is you can’t win real money, and it’s more rigged. Remember this isn’t even factoring in the real numbers, or the face that he said he did the method going as deep as >10, so the odds are even lower than that shitty uncomfortable to digest number.

It’s a 50% chance for a coin to hit heads, 25% to hit twice, 12.5% for 3 times and on and on Don’t know how either of your math is working because I’m exhausted but at least one of you is wrong so lemme tell you the real odds

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